Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000802 0.000835 0.000867 0.000903 0.000941 0.000980 0.001023
2025-10-19 0.000742 0.000789 0.000838 0.000893 0.000954 0.001019 0.001095
2025-10-26 0.000694 0.000751 0.000812 0.000882 0.000962 0.001051 0.001156
2025-11-02 0.000663 0.000728 0.000798 0.000883 0.000981 0.001092 0.001229
2025-11-09 0.000631 0.000700 0.000778 0.000872 0.000984 0.001115 0.001280
2025-11-16 0.000603 0.000676 0.000760 0.000862 0.000987 0.001134 0.001326
2025-11-23 0.000592 0.000670 0.000761 0.000875 0.001016 0.001187 0.001416
2025-11-30 0.000576 0.000659 0.000755 0.000878 0.001032 0.001223 0.001484
2025-12-07 0.000556 0.000640 0.000739 0.000867 0.001030 0.001236 0.001523
2025-12-14 0.000536 0.000621 0.000722 0.000854 0.001024 0.001243 0.001553
2025-12-21 0.000521 0.000607 0.000710 0.000847 0.001026 0.001259 0.001596
2025-12-28 0.000495 0.000579 0.000680 0.000815 0.000993 0.001227 0.001570
2026-01-04 0.000483 0.000568 0.000672 0.000811 0.000998 0.001247 0.001619
2026-01-11 0.000471 0.000558 0.000664 0.000808 0.001004 0.001268 0.001670
2026-01-18 0.000459 0.000546 0.000654 0.000801 0.001003 0.001280 0.001710
2026-01-25 0.000451 0.000540 0.000650 0.000802 0.001014 0.001309 0.001775
2026-02-01 0.000440 0.000528 0.000639 0.000794 0.001011 0.001318 0.001809
2026-02-08 0.000429 0.000517 0.000629 0.000785 0.001007 0.001324 0.001840
2026-02-15 0.000427 0.000517 0.000633 0.000797 0.001032 0.001374 0.001944
2026-02-22 0.000421 0.000512 0.000630 0.000799 0.001044 0.001405 0.002018
2026-03-01 0.000411 0.000502 0.000620 0.000790 0.001038 0.001408 0.002046
2026-03-08 0.000401 0.000491 0.000608 0.000778 0.001029 0.001405 0.002063
2026-03-15 0.000393 0.000483 0.000601 0.000772 0.001027 0.001415 0.002102